Just been looking at Electoral-Vote.com and specifically its poll trackers for Obama/Clinton vs. McCain.
According to the latest polls, Senator Clinton would beat Senator McCain by possibly as many as sixty electoral college votes. Senator Obama would also be projected to win but in his case, only by at most thirty votes and possibly it would be an exact tie.
Now, of course there's a long way to go but based on these polls, the accepted wisdom that there's no way a Democrat loses this year's election doesn't seem to hold entirely true if Obama gets the nomination.
What's interesting is (as I said earlier) that in the key swing states, Clinton's the horse to back. Let's look at some specifics (and of course, this is just based on the latest polling data). In Florida, Clinton beats McCain by a whisker while McCain pummels Obama. This is a characteristic I suspect of the elderly population in Florida. In Ohio, Obama loses to McCain by roughly the same margin as Clinton beats McCain. There are a couple of notable states that go the other way of course. Michigan projects an Obama victory (by a whisker) but a Clinton defeat and North Carolina sees Obama and McCain tying while Clinton would lose to McCain. Finally, in Missouri, Obama loses by a sizable margin while Clinton sneaks a win.
At one of the debates before the Pennsylvania primaries, both candidates were asked if they would make the other their running mate if they win. Neither answered. It's looking like Clinton's going to be best placed to win in November but Obama could make a fantastic run in eight years' time. The dream ticket could be the one with both names but Clinton's at the top. After all, right now she's the one with the Big Mo.
![[RSS 2.0]](/images/png/rss20.png)
![[RSS 0.91]](/images/png/rss091.png)
![[Blosxom Powered]](/images/png/blosxom.png)
![[Bursledon Parish]](/images/png/bursledon.png)
![[Use openSUSE]](/images/png/opensuse-green.png)
![[Get Firefox]](/images/png/firefox.png)
![[Lib Dems]](/images/png/button_libdems.png)
