Until the people of the USA go to the polls and it's looking like it might be a landslide for Obama. People ask me (they really do) how I think it's going to go and for a long time (even back when the polls were showing a roughly tied electoral college) I've been predicting an Obama win in the region of 100 electoral college votes. The polls are now showing more than that - getting towards the region of a 200 point gap. With each debate being adjudged to have been won by the democrat candidate (both the presidential candidate and the VP candidate), the gap just seems to show a widening trend (see the trend here) and with enough states already polling outside the margin of error for Obama to give him the 270 votes he needs, it's his election to lose now.

Bush states polling for Obama currently include (electoral college votes and %age of 2004 vote that went to Bush in brackets in each case) FL (27, 52%); IA (7, 50%); MO (11, 53%); OH (20, 51%); VA (13, 54%).