All views expressed on this site are my own. They do not necessarily reflect
those of the Parish of Bursledon, the Diocese of Winchester or the Church of
England. As such, I do not expect them all to be popular but you, the reader,
can certainly expect them to be honest.
23 Apr 2008, 21:49 GMT:
Clinton's momentum
Just been looking at Electoral-Vote.com and specifically its poll trackers for Obama/Clinton vs. McCain.
According to the latest polls, Senator Clinton would beat Senator McCain by possibly as many as sixty electoral college votes. Senator Obama would also be projected to win but in his case, only by at most thirty votes and possibly it would be an exact tie.
Now, of course there's a long way to go but based on these polls, the accepted wisdom that there's no way a Democrat loses this year's election doesn't seem to hold entirely true if Obama gets the nomination.
What's interesting is (as I said earlier) that in the key swing states, Clinton's the horse to back. Let's look at some specifics (and of course, this is just based on the latest polling data). In Florida, Clinton beats McCain by a whisker while McCain pummels Obama. This is a characteristic I suspect of the elderly population in Florida. In Ohio, Obama loses to McCain by roughly the same margin as Clinton beats McCain. There are a couple of notable states that go the other way of course. Michigan projects an Obama victory (by a whisker) but a Clinton defeat and North Carolina sees Obama and McCain tying while Clinton would lose to McCain. Finally, in Missouri, Obama loses by a sizable margin while Clinton sneaks a win.
At one of the debates before the Pennsylvania primaries, both candidates were asked if they would make the other their running mate if they win. Neither answered. It's looking like Clinton's going to be best placed to win in November but Obama could make a fantastic run in eight years' time. The dream ticket could be the one with both names but Clinton's at the top. After all, right now she's the one with the Big Mo.
23 Apr 2008, 15:23 GMT:
International affairs
- Overnight, Senator Clinton won the Pennsylvania primary by about nine points. This not only the effect of giving her the lion's share of that state's delegates at the convention but also swings the momentum back to her. Her appeal to the super-delegates may have seemed a little undignified but she may well be showing that in key swing states, she's the democrat best placed to beat Senator McCain on November 4th.
- Zimbabwe's churches appeal to the international community, warning of genocide if there is no intervention. Mugabe's determination to steal another term in office by brutalising and crushing the people of Zimbabwe sickens people around the world and it's important to see clerics from across the ecclesiastical spectrum standing up and allowing themselves to be counted.
I just added a big list of people to Planet SUSE. I won't list them all here - there were loads. Why were there loads? Partly because there were a couple in my inbox waiting to be done but mostly because a lot of people had emailed me and those emails hadn't arrived. I suspect GMail's spam filter was somewhat over-zealous but with tens of thousands of mails in the spam folder (and it only keeps them for a week...) I really didn't have time to check.
Thanks to Beineri for providing me with the list. Sorry to those who have been delayed in being syndicated. I've changed where my mail goes and have gone back to doing all my spam filtering in Evolution (although I've switched to Bogofilter instead of SpamAssassin).
23 Apr 2008, 10:29 GMT:
Multihead in action
I've produced a screencast of using the multihead stuff I blogged about yesterday. A couple of things to mention. I'm using an external CRT Iiyama monitor but it could be a projector for doing a presentation. Also, I have Screen Resolution added to my main menu to speed the process up - you can find it in Control Centre if you have the packages from Federico's project installed.
multihead-screencast.ogg (Ogg Theora, 6.3M, 4min 39sec)