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© 1995 - 2008
James Ogley

All views expressed on this site are my own. They do not necessarily reflect those of the Parish of Bursledon, the Diocese of Winchester or the Church of England. As such, I do not expect them all to be popular but you, the reader, can certainly expect them to be honest.

West Virginia Democrats vote today in a primary that Senator Clinton will win. Not will probably win, she will win it but it hardly matters now. The scorecard of delegates is shaping up to an Obama candidacy now. Senator Obama has more regular delegates and more Super-delegates than the New York senator and there aren't a great deal left to play for.

Now, were I an American, I could personally support either of the two Democratic candidates. Were I an American and a member of the Democratic party, it would have to be Clinton for me. Why? Look at the Electoral College situation based on the latest polls. I've blogged about this before but the difference between a Clinton-McCain race and an Obama-McCain contest is now even more marked. The latest polls show Clinton beating McCain by such a large margin that even if the tied states all went to McCain, Mrs Clinton would still win. On the other hand, the polls show McCain crushing Obama by an even larger margin than Clinton would beat him by.

So, what happens now? It's hard to see Obama not winning the candidacy and that's why I think Clinton is still pushing hard. If she shows the determination not to quit and the resolve that it takes to fight to the last, she can begin her campaign to stand against McCain in 2012 on November 5th, as soon as the votes have been counted. Then, who knows, perhaps a Clinton will unseat an incumbent Republican for the second time, twenty years on...